In my profession, being wrong or uninformed is far worse than not knowing the answer. When experts talk about cycle life but are unable to predict it accurately from such measures as charge capacity, we must assume there are reasons for that gap. Most people have experienced cells that were seemingly good and then deteriorate much more rapidly that other cells in a pack. That has been a problem with EV systems using NiMH cells.
The fact that a cell which accepts less than 80% of original charge is considered bad (i.e., at the end of its cycle life) by many experts is clear evidence that the loss of cycle life versus state of charge is non-linear, even if it cannot be predicted with any certainty. Your linear prediction simply ignores the available evidence and was wrong.
I am comfortable with saying that someone, e.g., the TS, might still wish to study prediction of cycle life and should not be discouraged, but they need to do background reading to avoid replowing old and infertile fields.
John